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Scope and objectives
Uncertainty and risk are pervasive issues in planning and
decision making tasks. With a wide range of causes and types of uncertainty,
there are correspondingly many approaches to their treatment in decision
analysis and optimization models. Some are tackled through discussion and
creativity techniques to help decision makers set the boundaries of their
problem; others are tackled through modelling techniques, e.g. probability,
to reflect the randomness in the external world; yet others are approached
through the use of sensitivity and robustness studies to explore the
possible consequences of lack of precision in data estimates and judgments.
Different research communities address uncertainty issues in planning and
decision making using different approaches, which often present similarities
although being developed under distinct perspectives. There is a clear need
for more work in the interfaces between these approaches for dealing
creatively and effectively with different types of uncertainty in different
contexts, also having in mind real-world applications.
This Conference is aimed at bringing together the specific expertise in
aspects of handling uncertainty within decision support models to build a
more comprehensive overview and integrated methodologies to tackle the
various sources and types of uncertainties at stake in optimization and
decision problems. The Conference will provide a forum in which researchers
coming from different scientific disciplines and areas can discuss and share
their experience regarding methodological approaches to tackle uncertainty
for obtaining robust conclusions in decision support models with application
to several areas.
Contributions from decision theory, Bayesian analysis, fuzzy sets, rough
sets, risk analysis, stochastic programming, sensitivity analysis,
robustness analysis, interval programming, inexact programming, constraint
programming, evolutionary algorithms and meta-heuristics, multi-criteria
analysis and multi-objective optimization, among others, are expected both
from methodological and application perspectives, thus paving the way for a
cross-fertilization between distinct ways to incorporate the treatment of
uncertainty in optimization and decision support models.
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